I often think about traffic. Usually because I'm stuck in it.
I have a short but sometimes brutal commute to and from work. Typically it is
20 minutes, but occasionally I'll get stuck in stop-and-go traffic on the
Interstate. And on the weekend I sometimes have to drive long distances,
and again I'll run into traffic jams.
Traffic isn't exactly a recent phenomenon. Julius Caeasar once
banned carts during daylight in Rome because of the severe traffic.
Today we have other methods of attempting to control or reduce traffic. There
are
HOV lanes,
express lanes, and other ideas such as stoplights at on-ramps, and
road pricing.
I've found HOV lanes the most frustrating. Of course, I'm usually driving
alone, so I could just be jealous. But I find that they are underused when
there is very little traffic, so that most of the time they just reduce road
capacity without adding any benefit. And when traffic does pick up, the HOV
lanes are usually just as clogged as any other lane. There may be times when
the HOV lanes are moving and other lanes aren't, but I rarely see that. Which
means that most of the time, HOV lanes are ineffectual, and maybe cause more
congestion than they relieve.
It's possible that relieving congestion isn't the point. Perhaps HOV lanes
are known to cause additional congestion, but are meant to reward carpoolers?
But then I don't understand the motivation. It seems like we should only care
about two things:
- Reducing emissions, and
- Reducing congestion.
HOV lanes don't reduce congestion, and if they often make congestion worse,
then they can actually increase emissions. So why do cities keep
building HOV lanes?
Express lanes seem to actually work. They add capacity to the highway when
needed. And they are reasonably efficient, since cities can build for
asymmetric traffic (rush hour in the morning is usually a different direction
than rush hour in the evening).
Stoplights at onramps also seem to work. You end up with traffic flowing
smoothly into the interstate, instead of getting surges of cars that can then
cause backups on the Interstate. When driving long distances, I definitely
notice that unmetered onramps can cause a larger interruption to other
drivers.
Best of all, in my opinion, is road pricing. With road pricing, people pay
money when they are in a traffic jam. (Or, depending on the city, they pay
money if they are likely to be in a traffic jam, given when and where
they are driving). Especially in the next few years, as we get to cars that
will be more aware of other traffic in the city, the ability to charge people
that are in congested areas will do the most to motivate people to change
their habits, or think a bit further ahead before driving into congested
areas.
I've seen some arguments that road pricing isn't fair because it charges
everyone the same rate. But that's just a problem with the pricing, not road
pricing in general. A city could always charge based on the price of the car,
for instance.
Beyond traffic flow, the best fix for congestion is
urban planning. I think urban planning is a misunderstood art. Central planning at large
scales doesn't work--just ask the former
Communist states. But by using
game theory and more general economic strategies, urban planners can influence a complex
system such as a city so that it optimizes for less congestion and emissions,
without planning every last road.
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